ukraine@war

ukraine@war

Day 1450

P→Q,¬P⇏¬Q—and perhaps no story.

Feb 12, 2026
∙ Paid
Enchanted c/o ai (February 12, 2026)

In an ideal world, the three journalists who co-authored yesterday’s piece in the Financial Times would resign. But we don’t live in an ideal world.

Consider the backdrop to their fantasy: in the early hours of February 12, Russia unleashed one of its largest barrages yet on Ukraine—24 Iskander-M/S-300 ballistic missiles from Bryansk, Voronezh, Rostov, and occupied Crimea; one Kh-59/69 guided missile from Donetsk; and 219 strike drones (around 150 Shaheds) from multiple Russian sites and Crimea, zeroing in on Kyiv, Kharkiv, Dnipro, and Odesa. Ukrainian air defenses downed or jammed 213 targets (15 ballistic missiles, 1 guided missile, 197 drones), but 9 missiles and 19 drones hit 13 locations, with debris at 14 more—amid Abu Dhabi "talks."

The chances that Ukraine will hold presidential elections and a referendum on an as-yet-unagreed peace plan by June 2026 are zero. Not slim. Not vanishingly small. Zero. That anyone anywhere is treating the suggesti…

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