Day 4, Phase 2
S/Lab Ultra 3
London-based practicing philosopher Vladimir Pastukhov answers the question, “When will it end?”
No one knows, and no one knows what “it” is.
Two months, approximately until June (it will become clear whether it is possible to conquer Ukraine, without using nuclear weapons)
Four-five months, approximately until August (it will become clear whether it is possible to conquer Ukraine in principle)
12-14 months, approximately until the summer of next year (it will become clear whether Russia can survive in isolation without oil and gas trade with Europe)
Each next cut-off can only be reached by surviving the previous one. After each cut-off, some new reality, or unreality will be established.
Pastukhov’s extended remarks for Current Time are here.
The Washington Post and The New York Times latch on to war-adjacent content milling, specifically the POW kneecapping video posted by TikTok-ers the day before yesterday. The credibility of both newspapers, which for years have referred to Russia-occupation forces in Donbas as pro-Russian separatists, is near zero. We all remember Sabrina Tavernise. Looking on the bright side, Carlotta’s articles about the siege of Kyiv are different.
Running season starts on Friday.