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London-based practicing philosopher Vladimir Pastukhov answers the question, “When will it end?”
No one knows, and no one knows what “it” is.
Cut-offs:
Two months, approximately until June (it will become clear whether it is possible to conquer Ukraine, without using nuclear weapons)
Four-five months, approximately until August (it will become clear whether it is possible to conquer Ukraine in principle)
12-14 months, approximately until the summer of next year (it will become clear whether Russia can survive in isolation without oil and gas trade with Europe)
Each next cut-off can only be reached by surviving the previous one. After each cut-off, some new reality, or unreality will be established.
Pastukhov’s extended remarks for Current Time are here.
The Washington Post and The New York Times latch on to war-adjacent content milling, specifically the POW kneecapping video posted by TikTok-ers the day before yesterday. The credibility of both newspapers, which for years have referred to Russia-occupation forces in Donbas as pro-Russian separatists, is near zero. We all remember Sabrina Tavernise. Looking on the bright side, Carlotta’s articles about the siege of Kyiv are different.
Running season starts on Friday.
