COVID-19 Mitigation in Ukraine Fails
President Zelensky says he is very sorry
Invoking the least cool philosopher Rudolph Carnap, we can say the classical conception of probability, represented chiefly by Jacob Bernoulli and Laplace, was definitely refuted by the criticism of the frequentists.
“The classical conception was essentially based on the principle of insufficient reason or indifference according to which two events must be regarded as having the same probability if we have no more reason to expect the one than the other. The critics of the classical conception pointed out correctly that certain consequences which the classical authors had drawn from this principle were absurd; furthermore, it was objected that this principle puts a premium on ignorance,” Carnap said in his autobiography.
Which brings us right back to Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky, who has made his business to put a premium on ignorance.
Unfortunately, the positive dynamics of morbidity in Ukraine over the last 90 days have been driven, in part, by Zelensky’s pathological bad thinking, whacko algorithms, formulations of set theory without variables, kooky mitigation models for flattening the curve, magical epidemic thinking, irredeemable health officials, pandemic politics and false assumptions promulgated by poorly calibrated agents with bad ideas who abandoned the precautionary principle.
Ignorance is bliss for the truly inept. That’s a fact and explains why Ukraine is such a mess right now.